Islamic University Journal of Applied Sciences

Comparative Analysis of Deep Recurrent Neural Network Models for Ultra Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting

Adel Mellit                  

Keywords: Wind power; Wind speed; Forecasting; Deep Learning; Self-attention mechanism

Major: Engineering

Sub Major: Renewable Energy Technologies

https://doi.org/10.63070/jesc.2026.014; Received 28 March 2026; Revised 24 April 2026; Accepted 28 April 2026; Available online 02 May 2026.
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Abstract

The rapid growth of global wind power capacity has made accurate forecasting crucial for grid stability, economical allocation and efficient operation of wind farms. In this paper, we investigate the performance of various deep recurrent neural network (DRNN) models, including GRU, LSTM, BiGRU, and BiLSTM, deeper LTSM and LSTM-GRU for ultra short-term wind power forecasting. Furthermore, we incorporate a self-attention mechanism into LSTM (SA-LSTM) and GRU (SA-GRU) models to capture complex temporal dependencies and enhance forecasting accuracy. Extensive experiments on real-world wind power datasets demonstrate that the SA-LSTM and SA-GRU modes slightly outperform conventional architectures with an accuracy of 97%, while all evaluated models exhibit strong capabilities in capturing short-term fluctuations in wind power. These results emphasize the potential of advanced deep learning models to support real-time wind farm control, energy management and grid integration.

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